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PADDOCKS PATENT (WEDNESDAY) – (In Association With TitanBet)

16:00 Lingfield

A competitive two-mile handicap on the all-weather polytrack at Lingfield looks hotly contested with 13-runners.

Danglydontask was second over this course and distance of this mark of 58 back in March on his first run of the season. David Arbuthnot’s five year old hasn’t shown too much form of late but was a close fifth of nine at Nottingham two starts back. The return to this track and surface would be a positive for this son of Lucky Story and another plus is Luke Morris is back in the saddle. His form figures on this runner are a first and a second.

Lucky Dottie has three career wins to her name and all of them have been at this venue. When she has raced here over 12 furlongs or further she has only been outside the frame once in five starts, so she is a player based on that. Stamina is the question mark but Pat Phelan’s charge has placed in a two-mile handicap hurdle.

The grey filly that carries top weight Rosie Royale may be open to improvement at this new trip. Trainer Roger Teal has had three winners from four starts and the other runner hit the frame, so it’s fair to say they’re going well from a small sample. Her two wins have been over a mile and ten furlongs, so does have a bit to prove upped in trip. She showed enough at Salisbury when going down by a head and she is dropped in class here, so is bound to run her race.

Danglydontask (E/W if 9/2+)

 

19:45 Kempton

Another staying handicap over two-miles this time at Kempton where the consistent Hurricane Volta will be hard to beat.

Peter Hedger’s five year old is badly weighted in this race and this low draw in stall one should help see him race prominently before mounting his challenge at the cut away. A winner in March before going down by a short head over this track and trip in April; he’s steadily climbed the handicap but the way he shaped at Doncaster suggested this extra distance shouldn’t be too much of a problem.

Voice Control got off the mark at the 12th attempt on the last day at Chelmsford and could have more to offer. I’m not too keen on form from that venue transferring to other places, so he’s more of a watching brief in this race. He has previously been beaten of this mark of 72 in the past, so does have a bit to prove.

Eight year old Delagoa Bay won for the first time since November 2014 just two weeks ago. Those two wins have been over this course and distance showing her liking for it. That win came out of the blue after two poor efforts on the turf, so she proved her liking for the synthetics. When a mare gets her head in front they can sometimes follow up on that performance and that is the angle I’m taking here, especially considering the way she won. The rise in the weights doesn’t look to be an issue.

Delagoa Bay (E/W)

 

20:45 Kempton

The nightcap is a sprint handicap over six furlongs where class dropper Adham looks to be an interesting runner for James Tate.

Tate has saddled three winners over the last couple of days with Cape Peninsular only managing third in his race yesterday. Both of Adham’s wins came last year over the minimum trip of five furlongs but his Lingfield win did suggest the extra furlong would suit. He may not have trained on but some of his efforts have been in better company than this. Two previous runs in the month of July have seen a win and a second. Plus his record in this class has yielded the same statistics. Drawn in stall seven he is one of the more likely front runners in the race.

Another pace angle would be with Desert Strike for Conor Dore. The ten year old could be dangerous if getting things his own way up front under useful 5lb claimer Hector Crouch. His sixth of 11th just a week ago may not look the best but he was only beaten over a length in a bunched finish. His old legs may get weary up front, so he looks vulnerable.

Lightning Charlie beat Desert Strike at Lingfield two starts ago and he only went up 4lb for that success. Last time out at the same venue but on the turf track a well-handicapped Shagnhai Glory beat him, so he comes here in a good vein of form. He won his maiden over track and trip, so with conditions likely to suit much better than last time plus the guaranteed strong pace he is a definite player.

Adham (E/W)

 

 

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About matthewkirbypftp

Racing Pundit at PicksfromthePaddock.co.uk

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