PADDOCKS PATENT (WEDNESDAY)
The search for profit today starts in the Lingfield opener, typically for the time of year these races look hard to inspire about but as usual we have a nice blend of horses in form or arriving here on very tempting marks. Munsarim would fall into the latter category here having shown very little lately, he did however win over course and distance off a mark of 71 in March of this year and arrives here today off 60. He requires a leap of faith today but his mark is very difficult to get away from and he is taken to bounce back to form at rewarding odds. Matraash is another who finds himself on a good mark, he wants monitoring in the betting for his shrewd connections a comment that also applies to Toymaker. Perhaps the most reliable of these is McBirney, he generally gives his running and has to be respected as a result.
Munsarim (E/W if 5/1+)
Nicky Richards has sent out three winners from four runners in Bumpers so far this term, he looks to improve that again here today and may well do just that with the well bred Carinena. Her pedigree looks the part on paper and she is a half sister to the yards smart novice chaser Eduard, whom also won a bumper on debut. The potential dark horse appears to be Now Let Go, she is related to winners on the level and over obstacles and represents a trainer who has an eye catching 30% strike rate in British bumpers, she would be even more eye catching should the money come and must be very closely watched in the market. Bedale Lane failed to land a blow when seen on debut in one of these when last seen, her trainer also does well in this sphere and she too is respected.
Carinena (E/W if 5/1+)
For our final selection of the day we head back to Lingfield in what looks a very moderate race, even for the lowly grade. Red Dragon was given by me when he ran at Kempton the last day, in the event he never really managed to land a blow in sixth but had been heavily backed and clipped heels at a crucial stage. It would be unwise to think he would have won without the unfortunate interference but he ran on strongly down the outside late on and he may well have placed with a clear run. Michael Blanchard’s type wouldn’t be one to get over confident with but he is absolutely thrown in if the mood takes and he could seriously threaten with the extra furlong today, looking likely to suit. Celestial Bay is closely matched with the Red Dragon and knows how to win, he’s respected here but has a wide draw which could make things difficult. Planetoid hasn’t won on the level for three years, he has won over hurdles in the meantime though and is more than capable on his day. The obvious worry for the topweight here has to be his form but down to a very lowly level and trading at double figure odds, he is selected to cause an upset under Willie Twiston Davies.
Planetoid (E/W if 5/1+)
by Chris Connolly