PADDOCKS PATENT (WEDNESDAY)
The day starts in the opening race at Lingfield for a one-mile Class 6 Handicap.
Surewecan makes his return for Mark Johnston. The four-year-old hasn’t been seen since finishing fifth over six-furlongs at this track. He’s down into this company for the first time however he has only won once from 21 starts and this could be a run to prep him for the flat season ahead, so he looks opposable.
Gary Moore’s Gunner Moyne is the likely favourite but he is the one with upside in this race. His form looks solid on the back of his last three runs, which read 112. Both of those wins came at Chelmsford over this trip but he seemed to handle the surface when running here 13-days where he couldn’t peg back Skidby Mill. That horse has since come out and won again, franking that form, so Moore’s charge has to be the one to look at.
Storm Runner won over track and trip in December under Lulu Stanford. Today George Margarson has booked Adam Kirby, who knows his way around here. When last seen he ran over one-mile-two-furlongs, which may not suit, so the return to this trip makes him a danger.
Gunner Moyne (WIN)
We move up north to take in some jumping in a staying handicap hurdle run over three-miles-&-a-furlong.
There are a few doubts about a few of these regarding their profiles and stamina. However one there is no doubt about is Cumbrian Farmer for Kenneth Slack – a trainer in fine form with three winners and two seconds from seven runners. Last time out this horse finished fourth over an inadequate distance after winning here on New Year’s Day. Harry Challoner is back in the saddle and back up in trip gives you confidence that he has solid each-way claims in a race of this nature.
Shinooki is likely to be a short-price for this contest by the way he bolted up at Southwell just ten-days ago. Harry Cobden has been booked to offset the seven-pound penalty, so will make appeal for some. This nine-year-old could have some more to offer in this staying division plus in a weak race like this is likely to be a warm order. He has previously run here twice but is yet to finish in the frame.
Diego Suarez was well beaten on his last start over three-miles and his pedigree wouldn’t enthuse confidence about him seeing out this trip. Simply Sam may be one that could be overpriced. This mare is related to a point-to-point and hunter chase winner over this sort of trip. Marjorie Fife’s charge is now a nine-year-old but has only had nine starts, so is fairly unexposed. She might be one worth looking at for market support
Cumbrian Farmer (E/W)
The final selection runs in the penultimate race on the Kempton card in an Apprentice Handicap over 1m.
Giovanni Di Bicci has turned a corner in 2016 winning on both starts. The son of Medicean started his winning run here in January before winning at Chelmsford by a neck last time out. He didn’t win by far last time and the handicapper may be catching up with him. On top of that Rhiain Ingram is 0-37 here at Kempton, so at a short price looks opposable.
Eddie Greatrex came to prominence last season and topped it all off by winning on Musaddas in the Balmoral Handicap. He rides Paul Cole’s Stormbound in this contest and this seven-year-old went close at Wolverhampton last time out. He is on a good mark and with a few of these looking to go forward early it could be ran to suit him.
Ocean Legend is now 11-years-old but there has to be question marks about him at this trip. Yes he has won over it once but the majority of his 18 career wins have been over shorter trips plus his last two wins have been in claiming races. Elsewhere, a few of these are having their first run for a while with their trainers lining them up for the start of the flat turf season, so may be lacking a fitness edge,