PADDOCKS PATENT (THURSDAY)
We kick off today’s action with the penultimate race from Salisbury.
It’s fair to say that I haven’t been too ambitious with my first selection as the odds on favourite looks the one to beat.
Trainer John Gosden has had a very successful year up until now and is likely to add to his tally of season victories. The lightly raced five year old hasn’t been seen on course in a while but if it can overcome a long absence should have far too much for today’s opposition.
It’s nearest rival in terms of betting seems to be Melodious. The David Elsworth runner has put in some good performances this season but I fear what could be a long campaign will have its toll today.
Flying Officer (WIN)
We stick with Salisbury as we take in their final race of the meeting.
Course and distance form is always a positive when trying to pick a winner and the favourite in this has a win over today’s conditions.
It’s hard to judge what Filosofo best last time out but it only gets a small rise in the weights for that victory which may turn out to be generous. Promising young jockey Tom Marquand takes the ride and with conditions sure to suite there’s plenty of scope for the horse to rack up two consecutive wins.
Of the remaining runners the heavily backed Ivor’s Involvement looks to have a good chance based on its success at Nottingham. However two disappointing efforts subsequently means the horse is very inconsistent and trying to judge whether or not it will be successful today is proving difficult.
A case can be made for the majority of its rivals but the favourite, by far, is the one that should come out on top.
We end today’s proceedings within evening race from Chelmsford. A trip to the all-weather course to grab ourselves a winner.
Unlike with the two earlier races I am actually going against the favourite here.
The market principal did well to win at Kempton on its previous start however it now incurs a penalty and its inconsistent nature doesn’t provide a lot of confidence. Foxford obviously has a chance but it may find a couple too good.
The runner that I feel poses the biggest threat is ridden by soon to be crowned champion jockey Silvestre De Sousa. Gladsome started to put the pieces together when finishing second last time out and is a likely improver after a recent change to a new trainer.
Ben Hall is the one to hopefully bring in success. An encouraging second placed finish last time shows the horse retains it’s ability and at five pound lower than it’s last winning mark the handicapper seems to have been lenient. The horses front running tactics should suit Chelmsford and if it gets an uncontested lead may be hard to peg back.
Ben Hall (WIN)