PADDOCKS PATENT (THURSDAY)
For my first selection today we head to Clonmel for a mares maiden hurdle run over two miles and four furlongs.
Tommy Cooper’s four year old filly Louise Royale is the one that catches the eye in this contest. While she was possibly flattered to finish as close as she did behind Willie Mullins exciting mare Morning Run, it is easily the best piece of form brought in to the race. The fact that both pulled well clear of the third horse that day does give the form a bit more strength and a similar sort of effort should see her hard to beat here. What I do like about her is that she has progressed with each one of her runs since moving to Ireland. I think the step up in trip should see her improve once again and with a clear round she is sure to be involved.
The Colin Bowe trained mare Mollyanna possibly brings the next strongest piece of form to the table. Her last two runs would suggest that a mark in the 120+ bracket is attainable and that should be enough to see her involved here. The cheek-pieces also make an appearance for the first time and this just might help her concentrate a bit better. I think she has a bit to find with Tommy Coopers mare but is capable of improving on what she has shown to date.
Of the remainder, Oscar Invitation produced a solid effort last time out behind Sheamus but was in receipt of plenty of weight. Allez Gold tackles hurdles for the first time but her three bumper runs suggest she has ability while Liss Ui Rian was going well before slipping up at Naas eleven days ago.
For my second selection today we stay in Ireland for a three mile handicap hurdle.
The hat-trick seeking Memories of Milan heads the betting here and has not been seen since winning at Listowel 42 days ago. This will be much softer ground than he has encountered on his last two outings but he does act on cut. While there is a good chance that the gelding can follow up again here, I think there looks a bit of each way value to be had in this.
The one that looks the each way value in this is Edward Cawley’s Forever Gold who returns from a 150 day absence. A mark of 107 looks very lenient as the son of Gold Well looks like he could be value for a stone on that mark. The ground also poses no concerns and the hood going on for the first time is also interesting. As long as he puts in a clear round and is fit enough on return, he is sure to have a say in the finish.
Of the remainder, the Supreme Racing Clubs Wood Breizh has been a bit disappointing but may find this easier than some of the company he has been keeping. Perries Hill and The Winkler should also have a say for minor honors.
Forever Gold (E/W if 5/1+)
My last selection runs in a mares beginners chase run over two miles two furlongs and 220yds.
It is hard to oppose Jennies Jewel in this as she was easily the best of these over hurdles. An outing on the flat and a pop over hurdles should see her arrive here much sharper than her main rivals. If taking to fences the first time of asking the mare should prove hard to beat in this.
Willie Mullins Gigginstown inmate Urticaire is probably the biggest danger to Jennies Jewel in this. On hurdles form she has the best part of a stone to find with Jennies Jewel but may improve for larger obstacles. With a clear round she is sure to be involved but is going to have to improve a good bit to trouble Jennies Jewel.
The only other runner in this you could give a serious chance to is Our Katie but like Urticaire, she is going to have to improve a good bit to trouble Jennies Jewel.
Jennies Jewel (WIN)