PADDOCKS PATENT (MONDAY)
Desoto County has finished in the top two in all six career races to date and signed off last season with a win at Kempton. The runner up on that occasion went on to win next time out and others that have finished behind him in other races have since gone on to win so the form has worked out well. As long as he arrives here fit after the summer break he should be the one to beat.
Titus Bolt is worthy of a second look at likely bigger odds. His last run ended in disappointment after mistakes at the last couple of hurdles meant he could only manage to finish in seventh but with jockey Ryan Days’ allowance he runs today below his last winning mark over hurdles.
Fly Vinnie is also considered, popping up as a 25/1 winner over course and distance last month. He will likely find this much tougher but should be open to further improvement.
Desoto County (WIN)
Malaysian Boleh arrives here looking for his hat-trick after two recent wins over seven furlongs but has never won over eight furlongs and has gone up to a mark he has never won off before.
Jack Of Diamonds is by no means a prolific winner but has popped up with a couple of decent placed efforts in recent months and has a 62% strike rate of finishes inside the top three on an all-weather surface. He cannot be discounted but cannot be backed with much conviction either.
Semaral has only finished outside the top three on one occasion when running on an all-weather surface and was a confident winner over course and distance last month. He should give a good account of himself again but preference is for the Charlie Appleby trained Razor Wind.
Razor Wind was an impressive four length winner when last seen at Wolves in November and can effectively race off a 5lb lower mark today thanks to his jockeys’ claim. He has only four career runs to his name but has never finished outside the top three and with further progress expected here he should be able to double his win tally.
Razor Wind (WIN)
Shalambar is the forecast favourite and can be considered somewhat of a course specialist, having a win rate of just under 25% when running here at Kempton. His last two wins came here in todays’ grade of race and with a similar strike rate over todays’ trip he is difficult to oppose.
Mighty Mambo has placed twice since switching back to the flat after a summer racing over jumps and is a previous course and distance winner. He looks the most likely to give the favourite a race but is still 5lbs heavier than his only prior win on the all-weather.
Delagoa Bay is also course and distance winner and has arguably the best recent form on offer with a win and three placed efforts in her last four races. She is another who could challenge but with only two wins from twenty she looks more likely to be racing for a place at best.