PADDOCKS PATENT (MONDAY)
Our first race of the day sees seven scheduled to go to post, where La Tinta Bay is forecast to be the early favourite. She has attempted todays’ race distance on five occasions without success, with her best effort coming when third on soft ground at Newbury in September. Although placed, she was still over five lengths behind the winner and has only managed wins over shorter distances on better ground so is opposed today.
Zain Zone is a course and distance winner and should be respected having won on heavy ground here two weeks ago. Prior to this win his best performances had come on better ground and he has been raised 3lbs for the win, so preference is for Trixie Malone.
The selection is proven over seven furlongs and notched up a hat-trick of wins on soft and good-to-soft ground in the spring. Returning to the track earlier this month after taking a summer break she ran a credible fifth in a class three handicap and should be strong enough to win now dropped in class and with conditions to suit.
Trixie Malone (WIN)
Our second race is a class two handicap, the feature race of the day here at Leicester. Two that really caught the eye in the line-up are the early favourite Rewayya and the Charlie Appleby trained Blue Rambler.
Rewaaya has won two from three over todays’ race distance, both wins coming on similar ground to what is forecast today and both by wide margins. She wasn’t disgraced when finishing eighth of twenty four in a hot handicap earlier in the month and could bounce back to winning ways today.
Blue Rambler is a fascinating prospect, looking to make it five wins from five. Proven on soft ground and over similar race distances, he looks to defend his unbeaten record and if transferring his form from France after a lengthy absence he should prove tough to beat.
Of the remainder, Fattsota has a 33% win rate over todays’ trip and has been in decent form recently so could figure if either of the above two run below expectation.
Blue Rambler (WIN)
We travel to Galway for our final selection of the day for a two mile handicap hurdle. With seventeen scheduled runners there is always the chance of a big priced winner popping up but with three runners fighting it out at the head of the market it seems prudent to concentrate on these.
Pleased As Punch has won two from three over todays’ race distance prior to finishing runner-up to Daigreen last time out. The third from this race has gone on to win twice since so the form for both seems particularly strong.
Daigreen arrives here at the top of his game and attempts to make it three wins in a row. He beat the aforementioned Pleased As Punch by over two lengths in his last race and, with similar conditions likely today the hat-trick beckons.
Roadtotheisland was last seen finishing second to Valours Minion who won again yesterday, although this was over twenty furlongs and over todays’ shorter trip he has been less than convincing.