PADDOCKS PATENT (MONDAY)
Letbeso has finished in the first three places in five of his six races over jumps but has never been able to get his nose in front so far and despite the above stats has been well beaten in two of the five (twenty five lengths and twenty eight lengths respectively).
Sweet Boy Vic has gone off as favourite or second favourite in his last nine starts but despite numerous places he has only managed to win once and has now raced over course and distance three times without success. It could be his turn to win today but despite his consistency I feel he should have won more than one of the last nine and looks more likely for a minor role again today.
Call The Detective has shown enough in two runs to suggest that a longer trip would suit. With two places from two runs he has the potential to improve much further and his yard is in good form at the moment (two wins from two races last week). Now stepping in to handicap company he could prove to be the one they all have to beat today.
Call The Detective (WIN)
Al’s Memory looks to be the early favourite in this class five handicap over seven furlongs. He has been raised 3lbs for winning at Lingfield at the beginning of the month and appears in good form at present but hasn’t followed up on a win since notching up a hat-trick two years ago and there are other last time out winners who also hold good chances here.
Mops Angel and Luke Morris renew their partnership after a win over six furlongs here last time out and have to be respected with Luke having a strike rate of almost 25% when riding for Mick Appelby over the last twelve months. However both career wins to date have been over shorter trips than today and on her only previous attempt over todays’ trip she finished seven out of eight and there are a few proven over seven furlongs in todays field.
The selection is Queen Aggie who has arguably the most consistent recent form on offer with a win and three placed efforts from her last five runs. A course and distance winner with a 41% strike rate for top three finishes on an all-weather surface she holds every chance of another top three finish at the very least.
Queen Aggie (E/W)
Classic Seniority is a consistent type who’s two career wins have come at this grade. He finished a close second in a class four at Lingfield in December and should prove to be too strong for his rivals here. Richard Hannon doesn’t sent many to race here at Wolves but has a 26% win rate here in the last twelve months and he will no doubt be hoping his 3year old colt is able to justify favouritism and pick up another win today.
Commander Patten is the only other runner to have won over todays’ trip but he finished well down the field in the race where our selection finished second, and has since run against again the winner of that race without making any impression.
Millar Rose hasn’t been seen since October and could only manage sixth in a race won by Little, who has subsequently been beaten by our selection. This was her first attempt over todays’ trip but it was in a class five and she does at least have some winning form on offer, having won over five furlongs in the past.
Classic Seniority (WIN)