All three selections today come from Ascot and we begin in the first race. Despite the large field I think the winner will come from one of the top four in the market. Shady Mccoy is looking to make it three wins in a row and five wins from his last six. He’s been hit with a further 8lbs rise which will make things tougher but he’s obviously in great form at the moment and cannot be discounted.
Si Senor has done all his winning on the all weather and over a mile but raced over todays’ trip regularly at the start of his career and has raced with some promise on both previous runs on turf. He finished a close second when last seen at Kempton last month and a similar effort today should see him go close.
Akeed Champion looks to be a big danger and benefits from the recently returning Ryan Moore in the saddle. He disappointed last time out but won two in a row over todays’ trip prior to that and should be more suited to the bigger field today, enabling him to tuck in before making a late run.
However my choice for this race is the eight year old Excellent Guest who won over course and distance last year off a 6lbs higher mark and has shown improved form recently to place twice in his last three. Three of his five career wins have come at Ascot and with a strike rate of over 31% for top three finishes here he is the choice at a decent each way price.
Excellent Guest (E/W)
Only five runners are scheduled to run in this Listed race yet it still looks a decent little race with three in-particular who stand out with decent chances.
Pin Up is the obvious starting point based on recent form having won twice and placed three times in her last five runs. She had the re-opposing Secateur back in fourth when they met at Haydock last month but has been upped 8lbs for winning by a nose.
John Gosden saddles two for this race and will be hoping Secateur can benefit from a 2lbs drop in the weights and reverse the form with Pin Up. The small field should also be a benefit given the three year old gelding will no doubt try to dictate things from the front.
Gosden’s second is Mill Springs who wasn’t disgraced when seventh of eleven in a Group 2 at Doncaster last month, only weakening in the final furlong. Based on that run the slight drop in trip here is likely to suit and she should be thereabouts at the finish.
Flying Hammer arrives here looking for a hat-trick of wins and looks to be an exciting prospect. An easy winner over seven furlongs on his penultimate run, he then followed up over a mile last time out despite not getting the clearest of runs and a 6lbs rise may not be enough to halt his winning streak just yet.
Goring is another last time out winner, beating the re-opposing Harlequin Striker by a length at Newbury last month. However he is 2lbs worse off today and is yet to win from five attempts on good ground so of the two preference would be for Harlequin Striker. Having said this, Harlequin Striker is now on a career high mark and despite Silvestre De Sousa taking over in the saddle he may be looking at minor honours today.
Flying Hammer (WIN)