PADDOCKS PATENT (FRIDAY)
Firmdimensions did the business for me last time at Newmarket and hardly have been anymore impressive, heavily backed beforehand he fairly bolted up and although the secret is well and truly out, he has an outstanding chance of defying the handicappers whopping 11lbs penalty. Should the money come once again confidence would highten but he must improve and the price will likely be too short, Saigon City is another with solid chances and showed himself to be better than ever when beaten into second last time on his first run for eleven months. The issue with the Cumani sort is the headgear and as such he is taken on. Russian Realm is extremely disappointing for one with such obvious talent, he could do better with the first time hood applied but quite whether you’d want to follow such a costly sort is open to debate. Ganymede scraped home in a three runner race last time to complete the hat-trick, this is much tougher but further improvement cannot be ruled out. Baltic Brave won over todays course and distance last season and is tough, he has a definite chance but is creeping up the weights and may need to drop before striking. Outsider Brigliadoro has never won on turf despite showing himself to act on it to a decent standard, he is clearly more at home on the all weather but his form makes him a major place contender in this and his riders claim looks handy. Santefisio is another with strong claims but is on a high enough mark, he is respected but a speculative vote is handed on outsider Brigliadoro to run into a place.
As with all of todays selections this looks pretty treacherous and although Dr Irv has no win since August 2013, he has run with credit on numerous occasions and seems to reserve his best for this place. Four times a runner up last season he clearly isn’t one to go overboard in the win markets with but on a handy looking mark, he has every chance of running into a place and his yard are firing. Longshadow is very interesting and is extremely unexposed, a good winner when last seen over this trip, he is sure to have his followers. This is much tougher but his chance is heavily respected, Moonlight Rising is another with an attractive profile having only had the three runs. Open to plenty of improvement it would be folly to dismiss his chances out of hand. Deauville Dancer has improved at a rate of knots and knows how to win having done so three times in his last four starts, he looks a likely type but the odds are likely to suggest that and an each way punt looks the way forward.
Dr Irv (E/W if 5/1+)
This looks highly competitive and is likely to take some winning, the unexposed Robin Park is sure to have his supporters having won comfortably at Nottingham last time but his price is likely to be short enough and the ground is likely to be much livelier today. The obvious thing to say about the Fahey challenger is that he wants respecting and he does, but there are enough reasons to take him on in this better race and as the odds offer little value he is taken on. Queen’s Pearl is the other potential dark horse and is another whom won when last seen, the form of that victory has hardly been massively franked however and once again, despite being handed a healthy amount of respect, her odds offer little hope. Souville will have be pretty decent to defy top weight but has won twice over this trip and has gone well fresh before, despite her welter burden she will also go on the ground and is handed a speculative vote to run into the money, currently trading at an eye catching 10/1 price. Jamesbo’s Girl like the favourite is officially in front of the handicapper but is another with something to prove against some of these, she is worth considering at the odds and is feared most.
Souville (E/W if 5/1+)