GLORIOUS GOODWOOD TV TIPS – DAY 4 (FRIDAY)
The trip looks the only potential stumbling block on this seasons form for the highly progressive The Corsican, a fair forth in a hot Group1 at Royal Ascot came on the back of a few much improved run and although this trip may not be his optimum, he is unbeaten in two starts at the track and deserves to go off favourite. Luca Cumani has taken three of the last eight renewals of this and his Connecticut could hardly have been anymore impressive as when tithe last day. Quite what he has to find to play a part here is hard to figure but it would no surprise if he was good enough and as such, he is respected. Dubday is interesting and hardly needs to improve to play a part, his defeat behind Gospel Choir the last day was slightly disappointing however and he might be the sort who needs everything to fall into place. Hillstar on the face of it has been disappointing and looks to have regressed judging on his exploits in 2013, if he did bounce back he would probably win but he has clear risks attached and couldn’t be confidently advised. The rest look no-hopers but should Watersmeet get an easy lead its easy to envisage him being hard to peg back, all things considered however, The Corsican looks the safest option and is taken to oblige.
The Corsican (WIN)
Latharnach is the clear form choice judging on his fine second behind Guineas winner Gleneagles at Royal Ascot the last day, an improving sort before that he has outstanding claims in this and really ought to win. The negatives however are obvious and his price is likely to put a few off as might the recent misses that the Godolphin yard have had. Should he win it would make sense but there is enough reason to take him on and we will be doing just that. Sir Michael Stoute has had a frustrating season and advising his charges has so far proved troublesome for me, his once raced Convey fairly bolted up in a maiden at Kempton and while this is massively tougher, its very interesting he is to take up the engagement. Kool Kompany is heavily respected at this level and though he may be an outsider, his chance shouldn’t be dismissed out of hand. Aktabantay is as good a value each way bet as any and though held on collateral form, he will probably be in the firing line come the end, a comment that also applies to Moheet who looks the type to improve with each run. The rest require a leap of faith and although similar can be said of Convey, he is handed the vote.
GM Hopkins finally took a big handicap when winning the Royal Hunt Cup at Royal Ascot last time and is entitled to go very close again today with the 6lbs penalty looking lenient to me. John Gosdens charge may be trickily housed in box 18 but he has outstanding claims otherwise and is taken to mow them all down late in the day. Bronze Angel has been disappointing a few times this term and may need to drop a few pounds before taking another big pot, he couldn’t be confidently dismissed but his draw is a definite concern and he is probably worth bearing in mind for later. Basem is improving at a rate of knots and did the business for me the last day, he is another to respect but he must improve and many will feel Munaseer can turn the tables with the weights in his favour. Donncha has a featherweight to race off and is another improver, the slight question mark with him is the trip but that aside, he has every chance. Magic City likes it here and has run with credit in this before, he isn’t entirely without risks but his love for the venue is a positive and he can run into the money at rewarding odds.
GM Hopkins (E/W if 9/2+)
Magic City (E/W)
This looks ridiculously competitive and more than half the field have chances, class act Muthmir has rather bombed a couple of times over 6f recently but this trip is clearly his optimum and he really ought to have everything run to suit. Things will be tricky considering he has to give weight away but he is the type to bounce back and is handed a tentative vote. Cotai Glory looked to be heading right to the top before unseating when about to collect at Doncaster last season, he never looked the same after but his fine third behind the re-opposing Out Do was highly encouraging and although he isn’t handed the vote, he is clearly very interesting. Moviesta has a shocking win record for one so talented and has been moved to sprint king Ed Lynam, this has probably been his target all along for his new trainer and a big showing looks on the cards. Move In Time, Out Do, Line Of Reason and veterans Kingsgate Native and Take Cover are others with chances in a super renewal.