GLORIOUS GOODWOOD TV TIPS – DAY 3 (THURSDAY)
We start day three of Glorious Goodwood with a three year old only handicap. A field of fifteen look set to tackle this mile and a quarter test, which is frustrating as the bookies will only be paying three places. Racing History is set to carry top weight and is the early favourite for Godolphin. He takes another step up in class but does hold a group two entry. Unexposed and filled with potential, he must go close. What he has done to achieve a mark of 99 however is questionable. Beating The Character (79) last time out by under a length and a half. While his hold up style makes him hard to assess. He beat that aforementioned horse off level weight due to been a three year old. Racing History is opposed on that basis.
The selection has to be Keble for John Gosden and Dettori. This horse has run in some good maidens, with his run behind Scottish has worked out well with that horse running a belter yesterday. This is only his second run in a handicap and the magical headgear is reached for first time. The son of Teofilo must go close off a nice racing weight.
Off the remainder it would be no surprise to see Resonant return to give a good account of himself, while Awesome Power has a nice weight and is well drawn.
By this stage hopefully Gosden will be off the mark and he has the favourite for the Richmond Stakes, a group two for juveniles over six furlongs. He saddles Shalaa who was a good winner of the July Stakes at Newmarket. Still looking green in the process. However his price has no value in it and I will look for an alternative. There are plenty in the field of eight that could take a step forward.
Tasleet is an interesting runner off a mark of 98, coming to hand slowly for William Haggas. He would need to find a good bit with some of these tho and the same can be said for Barbarous Relic.
Mark Johnston fires two darts and while they can’t be completely ruled out. Riflescope needs to show he handles six as well as five and Adventurous is taking a big rise in class.
Steady Pace finished second behind Shalaa and should get closer here on a more conventional track, Same should be said about Elronaq. The latter is overlooked by the stable jockey.
Selection is Log Out Island. A very good second in the Norfolk stakes after setting a crazy pace. Finished third in a muddling race at the Curragh. I can safely forgive that run. The yard have an excellent record around Goodwood. He was highly thought of and should get his young career back on track here.
Log Out Island (E/W if 9/2+)
The feature of day three is the Goodwood Cup, won last year by Calvaryman and its another eight year old who can do the business today. Simenon was fourth in Royal Ascot, never quite getting to the leaders. That trip may have just stretched him and back over a more favourable trip. Willie Mullins has been conquering all this season, both flat and jumps. You can be sure this one will be ready and with Frankie booked looks fair set for a massive attempt. Back on better terms with Trip To Paris, turning around that form will see him involved.
The favourite, Trip To Paris, has been a revelation this season, but the conditions of the race, don’t suit and he needed all of the Ascot trip to get in front. This sharper test may not be to suit.
Quest for More must be respected after his Northumberland Plate win but this is another rise in company. Sheikhzayedroad is interesting at this trip and while not really bred to do so, he says really well in his races so I shouldn’t see a problem. My concern would be the lack of form he has shown since last years treble. While Oriental Fox advertised Mark Johnstons training skills when winning off a year break. Bounce factor must come into for him. Its the other Mark Johnston runner that catches my eye. The Filly Vive Ma Fille, The three year old is getting lumps of weight all round and surely has a chance based on her Royal Ascot run behind Aloft. She has speculative E/W claims
Big Orange based on last run is the biggest danger for win purposes.
Simenon (E/W if 9/2+)
Vive Ma Fille (E/W)
A wide open renewal in the Lille Langtry to finish the Channel Four coverage. Arabian Comet (second last year) and Jordon Princess are currently vying for favouritism. I would expect the later to overturn the direct form line between them. The race last time was run at a slow pace and wouldn’t have suited the fast finishing Arabian Comet.
The selection is Lustrous who on his last run had Jordon Princess well beaten. This is an interesting four year old. Hughes decides not too ride her and she is joint top rated in the race. Raced in all the top fillies races last year and held her own creditably. This is another step down in class after running well in a group two at Haydock. She should continue to run well.
The dangers come from Europe in the form of French raider Lady Dragon and German raider Kaldera, Both are unexposed and could get involved.
Away from today’s TV Tips we also have our two best bets for Day 4 of The Galway Festival from Karl Hedley:
15:00 Galway – Rock Critic (WIN)
16:45 Galway – Bayan (E/W)