FRIDAY NIGHT LIGHTS
Friday Night Lights begins with a six furlongs sprint handicap. Classic Flyer is the clear market leader here and his case is strong. As his course and distance form last month shows he acts on the surface and has won off this mark on Turf. However while at first glance he looks to be a worthy favourite. All his wins have come in class six races at Newcastle. Classic Flyer has a big chance but at the prices he is opposable. Other three year olds Gold Waltz and Hope and Faith are worth of a second look. The latter is interesting given he won a poor three year old maiden at the start of the this flat turf season, it’s hard to judge what a correct mark is and still looks a bit high. Gold Waltz also still needs to come down a couple of pounds also. The selection is Mutafaakir. Ruth Carr is been in excellent form all year. The seven year old gelding is on a very attractive mark and has been lightly enough raced this season. He has won three times from a higher mark and I can forgive his last run due to having an awful draw at Chester. Given a much better stall here, he can show how well handicapped he is.
Are final two races come from Dundalk. Starting with a two year old listed race. While as a general rule, I generally avoid two year old races especially at this time of year. That said Glass House should not be anywhere near the price she is. The showcasing filly is drawn well and should handle the ground. She won the big sales race at The Curragh over Irish Champions Weekend. Everything went wrong that day with a slow start and historically an awful draw, but she overcame that leaving the impression there was plenty in the tank. Hit It a Bomb is currently odds on. She won a Curragh maiden two weeks ago but was all out to do so in what doesn’t look the strongest race. Very opposable in my book.
Redstaroverchina and Tonkinese both had excuses last time out and shouldn’t be easily discounted.
Glass House (WIN)
Mick Halford should win this race and fires two arrows. Slipper Orchid is starting to look well handicapped but on jockey bookings looks the second string and most likely has some nice targets later on in the year. I was extremely sweet on Cailin Mor last time out over a mile. She showed excellent pace and travelled really well into the race before hitting the front far too early and getting chopped down late on. Hopefully Conor Hoban can time his run better from a good draw here. Although she is 15lbs higher that her last run, I think there is plenty in the tank if timing her run better and could turn into a high nineties filly. Based on collateral form she should hold the only other main danger in Back on Top. Fran Berry rides Dundalk better than anyone and must be respected.
Cailin Mor (WIN)