FRIDAY NIGHT LIGHTS
We start all weather Friday nights with one of two trips to Dundalk, for a one mile apprentice handicap. Kodiacs Back and Pretty Famous head the market, both are well matched on previous course and distance form at the beginning of September. The horse I would take out of that meeting would be Pretty Famous, however Andy Oliver leaves the cheek pieces off this time which is off putting and he has been raised four pounds by the Irish Handicapper. Kodiacs Back will struggle to uphold the form, given he was well drawn the last time.
Political Policy won very well last week but has never been the type to follow up. He will struggle to win off this mark and is very vulnerable for all he loves Dundalk.
My selection is Doc Holiday, the Eddie Lynam horse is starting to look very well handicapped. The Lawman gelding has previously won off a nine pound higher mark last year. Another Dundalk specialist who has an excellent place strike rate around here. Robbie Downey is an excellent young jockey with a bright future. He is well drawn here and I am expecting a big run.
Biggest danger could come from Jolyne who is an unexposed three year old and if handling the surface could be a big player.
Doc Holiday (E/W)
We stay in Co Louth for our next race a six furlong rated race. The three year olds look set to rule the roost here. Eyes are immediately drawn towards Eisenhower, the twice raced son of War Front is bred for the task and that phrase “could be anything” goes well with this horses. He won on his second start beating a fair yardstick in Ostatnia. If ready coming back of the break could be tough to pull back.
Stroll Patrol however has some really solid form in the book. Competing at a very high level and her last run saw her achieve a rating of 102. With the fillies weight allowance here leaves her right in the mix. Last time out she finished a close up fourth in a Group Three contest. If reproducing that form I can’t see her beaten.
Russian Sole always seems to run well here and has had a busy time lately, race conditions don’t really suit while last year’s winner My Good Brother has been badly out of form.
Stroll Patrol (WIN)
We finish the night with a nine and a half furlong class five contest. Scurr Mist looks sure to be popular with two wins from last three runs, them wins have seem him take a massive hike in the weights and off a rating of 72 and up in class it’s hard to see much more improvement and on a purely price basis he is opposed.
Biggest danger to what will be my selection appears to be Coillte Cailin who drops down in class and also has Adam Kirby booked. Back down to a two pound higher mark than last win over course and distance in February. I would like to see some better form by this horse before getting involved as he has been looking in the grips of the handicapper.
This selection may seem a bit speculative, but The Dancing Lord is well below his last winning mark off a rating of 73, (last win came at Dundalk off 80). A very capable young jockey in Hector Crouch takes another five off to help his cause. This will be The Dancing Lords second run for Richard Mills and while a tenth of eleven wouldn’t give you the greatest hope. That run was promising in what looked a decent race for the grade. Stepped back up in trip, I am expecting a much better performance and he looks overpriced based on his Irish form.
The Dancing Lord (E/W)